Central Bureau of Statistics: “Migration is crucial”
WILLEMSTAD - In all conceivable scenarios about how Curaçao will be in about 35 years, like in 2050, aging is an inevitable process. That concludes the Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) in the new publication Population Projections 2015-2050.
“Migration can slow down or speed up the aging process,” according to the CBS. There are more immigrants in the country than there are people going out, the aging process will be slowed down. But there has been a wave of emigration, which was also known in Curaçao in the years 1998-2001, and it will accelerate the aging correct.
In the publication the CBS paints a picture based on five scenarios of how the Curaçao population will look like in 2050. The five scenarios are a high immigration, a standard migration, constant fertility, emigration or no migration.
The population in all these scenarios is getting older. CBS commented:
In 2050, the median age of the population aged will be between 46 and 52 years. That's 5 to 11 years higher than in 2015. The population aged 65 years and older is expected to make up approximately 24 to 30 percent of the total population in 2050, which is an increase from 9 to 15 percentage points compared to 2015. The population will live longer with increasing life expectancy. An increase in life expectancy in Curaçao will therefore lead to strong growth of the elder population, the over 80’s. Their share is expected to increase by just over 3 percent in 2015 to 8 to 11 percent in 2050.