Published On: Mon, Aug 7th, 2017

Two tropical systems threaten the Caribbean

tropical_outlook (2)MIAMI - Forecasters at the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami are monitoring two tropical weather systems that are currently threatening the Caribbean.

Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization in association with a strong tropical wave located over the west-central Caribbean Sea. This system is moving west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, and a tropical depression or tropical storm could form over the northwestern Caribbean Sea before it reaches the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico late Monday or early Tuesday. Even if formation does not occur before the system reaches the Yucatan peninsula, a tropical depression or tropical storm could form over the Bay of Campeche by midweek.

An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft scheduled for Sunday has been canceled, but a new mission has been scheduled for Monday, if necessary. Interests along the coasts of Honduras, Belize, and the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this disturbance.

Meanwhile, an area of low pressure located about midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles remains elongated, and the associated showers and thunderstorms are not well organized. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next several days while it moves generally west-northwestward across the tropical Atlantic at about 15 mph.

The chances of a tropical cyclone forming are estimated as low (30 percent) during the next 48 hours and medium (50 percent) during the next five days.

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