Published On: Tue, Aug 18th, 2015

Caribbean could see first storm this season, forecasters say

2015_NT_96_z1_modelsWILLEMSTAD – Tropical Storm Danny could be the first storm to hit the Caribbean for this year’s hurricane season. Forecasters say that what is now an area of low pressure in the eastern Atlantic has a 90 per cent chance of developing into a tropical depression as early as today, before reaching tropical storm strength tomorrow.

The National Hurricane Centre (NHC) said in its 8 a.m. advisory that thunderstorm activity associated with the area of low pressure, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, has continued to become better organized this morning and it won’t take much for it to become a depression.

“Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and only a slight increase in organization would result in the formation of a tropical depression later today while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 miles per hour,” the Miami-based NHC said.

If the system develops, it will be the fourth storm of the 2015 Atlantic hurricane season but the only one to threaten the Caribbean.

Tropical storms Ana, Bill and Claudette took aim at the United States coast.

The hurricane season has so far been slow and it’s expected to stay that way as a result of a strong El Niño and cooler temperatures in the Atlantic, among other factors.

Earlier this month, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center issued an updated outlook for this year’s hurricane season which indicated the probability of a fairly quiet season is now 90 per cent – up from 70 per cent in May.

It said there might only be one major hurricane even though the season could produce as many as 10 named storms.

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